Betting nugget: Mahomes is 7-1 outright and 6-2 ATS against Las Vegas. FPI prediction: GB, 86.9% (by an average of 13.5 points), Matchup must-reads: How Saquon Barkley and AJ Dillon became the 'Quad Kings' of the NFL Landon Collins, Giants finalizing deal, sources say Packers' Aaron Rodgers wanted longer London trip Rodgers: 'This way of winning, I don't think, is sustainable', What to know for NFL Week 5: Score picks, bold predictions, fantasy tips, key stats for all 15 games, Which NFL teams still have roster holes? Experts weigh in with analysis and provide premium picks for upcoming NFL games. Betting nugget: This game has the highest over/under this season. -- Vaughn McClure. The Week 5 NFL slate is stacked with great matchups. Chiefs 24, Texans 20 -- Adam Teicher, Deshaun Watson and the Texans' offense made a big statement scoring 57 points against the Titans. So, these teams could have to rely on their defenses. It won't hold, though, as J.J. Watt & Co. make life miserable for the Falcons' offensive line. 2023 NFL Draft props, picks: Michael Mayer Under 23.5 What's more, it's Mayfield at quarterback for the Panthers this time, the same signal-caller Bosa made a point of terrorizing in 2019 with two sacks, a forced fumble and a fumble recovery. Betting nugget: Since the start of last season, Dallas is 9-1 ATS on the road and 13-2 ATS in conference games. If Sam Bradford makes it through three days of practice this week and is ready to play, he will start in Chicago. More: NFL Week 5 odds: Money lines, point spreads, over/under for every Week 5 NFL game. -- Mike Reiss. Betting nugget: Over the past 15 seasons, teams favored by at least seven points in international games are 7-0 ATS (6-0 ATS in London). Matchup rating: 77.2 | Spread: DAL -3.5 (46.5), What to watch for: Can the Packers' defense replicate what New Orleans did a week ago in holding Ezekiel Elliott to 35 yards on 18 carries? They might miss them Sunday. Our experts share their favorite upset picks for Week 5, including an unsuspecting team who is 3-1 to start the year. I tweaked my predictions from Sunday to reflect . For the season on third downs, he's completing only 48.9% of his passes and owns a 78.0 passer rating. The answer is to be determined, Cruz expects Minshew will lead Jags over Allen's Panthers (1:17), Week 5 NFL game picks, schedule guide, fantasy football tips and more, Which NFL teams still have roster holes? But the Commanders' run defense will be severely tested by Tennessee running back Derrick Henry. ET | Fox 2023 NFL draft buzz: McShay on top prospects, QBs, early picks - ESPN The latest hint that the Jets are destined for the spotlight came from ESPN's Adam Schefter. -- Todd Archer, Bold prediction: The first team to 30 rushing attempts will win. The one thing that might help their offense is the return of running back Alvin Kamara, who said he's ready to roll this week. Tennessee adopted a quick-hitting passing attack last week to speed up Mariota's decision-making, which should be the way to go against a Bills defense that takes away the vertical passing game and is third in the league in allowing a 57.1 completion percentage. The Bills might be 3-1 and playing the 1-3 Bengals, but Vegas seems to like Cincinnati in this game. passing windows despite a smaller 5-foot-10, 204-pound frame. Stat to know: Jared Goff is tied for the lead in passing touchdowns with 11. The Jaguars were leading the NFL in rush defense until giving up 210 yards and four rushing touchdowns in a loss at Philadelphia last weekend. ET games. His six catches last week against the Chargers are 60% of his grabs for the season. Stafford already has been sacked 12 times, and the Panthers, with future Hall of Famer Julius Peppers playing at a high level (4.5 sacks), have the firepower to get Stafford off his game. Betting nugget: Atlanta has failed to cover 13 straight games against AFC opponents (1-12 outright). DAL-LAR | CIN-BAL | LV-KC, What to watch for: The Bucs are on a rare two-game slide and are 0-2 at home so far this season, while the Falcons have won two straight. Ertz has not scored this season, but his 24 catches rank fourth at the position this season and keep his floor high. Moody's pick: Jaguars 34, Texans 14 2020 NFL draft order: Top 20 picks Read more. He started slow, but has run for 199 yards combined the past two weeks and ranks third in the NFL in yards after first contact at 3.21 in that time. -- Adam Teicher, To celebrate 100 years of pro football, Peyton Manning travels the country to see the people and places that made the NFL the NFL. Paired with fellow receivers John Brown and Jaron Brown, the Arizona wideouts pose a threat to a vulnerable Eagles cornerback group. 1-ranked run defense to power the Browns to their second win on Monday Night Football this season. Texas has had 357 players selected in the NFL Draft. Bold prediction: With quarterback Sam Darnold (mono) sidelined for a third straight game, the Jets' epic struggles on offense will continue. NFL Nation reporters predict the outcomes and scores for Sunday's and Monday's Week 5 games. Meanwhile, Mahomes has thrown two interceptions, and the team has also lost two fumbles through four games. Cronin's pick: Giants 21, Vikings 17 ET | NFL Network Matchup rating: 63.6 | Spread: HOU -5 (49), What to watch for: Will wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins top 100 receiving yards against Atlanta? But to this point, Steelers quarterback Mason Rudolph hasn't been able to take advantage of the vertical game, averaging just 3.3 air yards per completion, the lowest for any quarterback with 50 completions since 2006. That would mean bigger roles for undrafted rookie Keelan Cole (four catches) and recently signed first-year player Max McCaffrey. NFL: Notable Super Bowl betting trends This is a matchup of the worst passing offense in the NFL (Jets, 131 yards per game) vs. the worst passing defense (324 yards per game).
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